That is the question… With the unreliability of weather reports these days it’s always difficult to make the call. I can’t tell you how many times I’ve told folks to forget about coming down from the city, or elsewhere, because of a wind or rain forecast that didn’t look promising, only to wake up to flat-calm not-a-cloud-in-the-sky conditions. And then on the other hand, there have been numerous times where I’ve said “let’s give it a try” despite unfavorable wind and sea forecasts, to find that low-and-behold the Nation Weather Service was actually right! Man is that a bummer… Especially when you have one or two guys looking at you like you’re a jackass (which you totally are) from the window of their car while it rains sideways… Such was the case this morning.
After being blown/rained-out for several consecutive days I said “screw it, I’m going fishing.” A 4:30AM wake-up and an extra large cup of coffee later, I’m putting fuel in the boat during torrential downpours, wishing I’d just slept in. I decided to fish regardless, torturing a father and his son with a run into wind and needle-like rain, only to find a barren Breezy Point. Instead of giving up and cutting my losses like I should have, I spent the next two hours searching here and there for phantom breaking fish that had skipped town because of several days of east wind… The rain never really let up, but I kept saying optimistically, “look’s like the sun may come out.” I finally admitted defeat and headed back, this time into a wind against tide short chop. Even less fun than the ride out.
I think we’ve all been there… Frustrating to say the least. But you’ve got to do it… If not you run the risk of the truly unthinkable; that awful situation where you’re taking the LIRR over the bay and you realize you’ve made a horrible mistake… You’ve trusted the National Marine Weather Forecast! Despite the 20 to 25-knott east wind prediction, the water below you looks like orange glass as a fire-red sun peaks over the horizon. In the distance you can make out wheeling birds over breaking fish. You press your sullen face to the glass and harshly whisper… “what have I done!” while the person next to you looks at you like you like you’re a nut. You quietly sulk the whole ride into the city, only to find that your boss is not in the office, but calls to let you know that he’s out there hammering them. THE HORROR!!!
And what’s with those 10 to15-knot forecasts?!?! Which is it man… 10 or 15-knots?!? There’s a big freaking difference! And how about when the mechanical woman on the VHF radio is saying NE wind around 10-knots while you’re out pitching and rolling in a wind blown chop while the wind is cranking at at-least 20-knots… Kind of makes you want to yell “look outside dummy!” at the radio.
Sorry… Just needed to vent...
Let’s get on to the reports:
Schoolies and small blues are still rather consistent in South Jersey while albies and bonito have been showing up with more frequency off the beach.
Hurricane Francis sent in a swell that made getting out to the off and midshore lumps difficult. The following east wind made the rest of the week really tough as well. In central New Jersey, there were a good number of albies to keep anglers happy. The same can be said for Northern New Jersey and the New York metro area, however, after all this east wind, we may not see them for a while. One angler this week hooked into a nice mahi within sight of the Breezy Point jetty. Bay anchovies are becoming pretty thick and I expect if the weather doesn’t produce Victory at Sea conditions , we’re going to have some good days in the near future. In Jamaica Bay there are huge amounts of cocktail blues taking advantage of the beginnings of the peanut bunker run. The water is still very warm back there so don’t expect to see bass until things cool down significantly. Lots of cocktails in Raritan Bay as well, with the occasional schoolie bite up against the structure. Albies made a good showing on the South Shore of Long Island this week with lots of guys getting good numbers on a flyrod. Out east the albies have arrived as well, although not in the numbers we’re going to be seeing them in the next few weeks. Lots of peanut bunker our there as well as a huge amount of rain bait. It’s going to be a bang’em up fall…
Weather looks okay this weekend. Behold… The fall run is upon us!